2School of Physical,
Environmental and Mathematical Sciences, University of New South
Wales, Canberra, ACT 2600, Australia
Abstract
The geological stability and existence of
low-lying atoll nations is threatened by sea-level rise and climate
change.
Funafuti Atoll, in the tropical Pacific Ocean, has experienced
some of the highest rates of sea-level rise (~5.1 +- 0.7 mm/yr),
totaling ~0.30 +- 0.04 m over the past 60 yr.
We analyzed six time slices of shoreline position over the past
118 yr at 29 islands of Funafuti Atoll to determine their physical
response to recent sea-level rise. Despite the magnitude of this
rise, no islands have been lost, the majority have enlarged, and
there has been a 7.3% increase in net island area over the past
century (A.D. 1897-2013). There is no evidence of heightened
erosion over the past half-century as sea-level rise accelerated.
Reef islands in Funafuti continually
adjust their size, shape, and position in response to variations in
boundary conditions, including storms, sediment supply, as well as
sea level. Results suggest a more optimistic prognosis for
the habitability of atoll nations and demonstrate the importance
of resolving recent rates and styles of island change to inform
adaptation strategies.
1. Vad de säger är
att trots den allra högsta havsnivåhöjningen har öarna ökat ca 7 % i
area sedan 1897.
2. Inga bevis för
ökad erosion.
3. Atollöar
anpassar sin storlek som svar på förändrad havsnivå.
4. Man kan vara
optimist när det gäller fortsatta bosättningar på denna plats.